Investigating the potentiality of various inflation-protected investments for investors in Iran
Keywords:
Inflation protection, investment, Markowitz modelAbstract
This study aimed to investigate the potentiality of inflation-protected investments for investors in Iran. The objective of the present study was applied, and the methodology was correlational, which an ex-post facto research design was developed to explore the correlation between variables. Here in this study, the required data (e.g., time series pertaining to the total stock price index, housing, bond, gold, and coin prices as well as dollar prices in the unofficial market) were collected to distribute capital among asset groups and then econometric concepts and models were used to analyze these time series aiming to predict the returns and standard deviations as well as covariances of future periods. To determine the changes and relations between different assets and simulate the rate of return in the presence of macroeconomic factors, Burberry’s (2000) and Campbell et al.’s (2003) methods were used. After static model variables were discovered, Schwartz-Bayesian (SC), Akaike (AIC), and Hannan Quinn (HQ) criteria were employed to determine the interrupt length. Eviews software was used to analyze the data to estimate the VAR model and Matlab software to resolve the mathematical programming problem.
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